Saturday, 9 April 2016

Is a modern industrial society possible without cheap fossil fuels?



Credit: EPA USA

Many, on all sides of the climate & economic debates, have expressed concern that a modern industrial society may not be possible without cheap fossil fuels & their attendant greenhouse gas emissions. Fortunately, emerging evidence points to the possibility of a bright economic & environmental future:

● With subsidies running at $10 million per minute worldwide, fossil fuels aren’t cheap.

● Data (some of it preliminary) show that world greenhouse gas emissions stayed flat in 2015, for the second year in a row, while global gross domestic product continued to grow.


http://www.wri.org/blog/2016/04/roads-decoupling-21-countries-are-reducing-carbon-emissions-while-growing-gdp

https://www.iea.org/newsroomandevents/pressreleases/2016/march/decoupling-of-global-emissions-and-economic-growth-confirmed.html
keys countries transition new climate economy growth drive coexist climate stabilization whether climate stabilisation can drive growth debates growth resources complex fractious resolved immediate future recent developments global greenhouse gas GHG emissions stayed flat 2014 2015 GDP continued to grow emerging trend supported by 21 countries reduce GHG emissions while growing GDP United States of America largest country multiple consecutive years economic growth decoupled from growth in carbon dioxide emissions CO2 2010 to 2012 energy-related carbon dioxide emissions declined 6 percent 5.58 to 5.23 billion metric tons GDP grew by 4 percent $14.8 to $15.4 trillion analysis Clean Power Plan U.S.A. Energy Information Administration forecasts cleaner electricity system after 2020 sustained period GDP-GHG decoupling CPP implementation reduce total U.S.A. USA energy-related carbon dioxide emissions further 6 percent between 2020 and 2025 GDP increases 13 percent in real terms United States implements Clean Power Plan achieves sustained decoupling twenty other countries decoupling GDP energy-related carbon dioxide emissions UK country economic growth CO2 emissions increasingly diverged UK achieved six years of absolute decoupling real GDP grew carbon dioxide emissions declined shifting to a low carbon path decoupling of GDP and GHG emissions economy economics business emissions international climate policy renewable energy /

Friday, 8 April 2016

Big changes driven by success of Tesla’s Model 3 unveiling



Tesla Model 3
Credit: Tesla/Computer World

Response to the unveiling of the Tesla Model 3 has exceeded all expectations.


Tesla will be expanding production plans.

http://electrek.co/2016/04/07/tesla-model-3-production-plans/

Lithium, “... between 15 & 20,000 metric tonnes of lithium carbonate equivalent to supply that demand,” are being discussed.

http://business.financialpost.com/midas-letter/tesla-motors-inc-ignites-a-lithium-race-among-albemarle-sqm-and-fmc

A large number of online vehicles represents a large hacking target, & the dangers can be substantial. All Teslas are Web-enabled, & have been hacked in the past.

So Tesla has hired Apple’s OS security expert

http://electrek.co/2016/04/04/tesla-apple-os-security-expert-hacker/
/ supply Tesla Motors Inc.’s gigafactory Albemarle CorporationNYSE:ALB Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile ADR NYSE:SQM SQM FMC Corp NYSE:FMC supply 90 per cent of the world’s lithium Tesla’s facility industrial installation Nevada desert make electric cars mainstream reducing cost lithium ion batteries mass production investors price of lithium double triple plant opening lithium ion-powered age opportunities to profit increasing production plans minimize wait for Model 3 overwhelming number of Model 3 reservations increasing production plans minimize wait Model 3 reserve $35,000 long-range all-electric vehicle reservations Tesla hired Apple’s OS security expert connected cars hacking risk automotive industry IT security connected cars hacking risk Tesla IT security team Chris Evans head Google’s Project Zero team of hackers Google zero-day vulnerabilities /

Thursday, 7 April 2016

Phone cameras – the great leap forward



Two Leica cameras in Huawei’s P9 phone – exploded view
Credit: tjfer.com

Some time ago, I predicted that the future of photography would be very large pixel-count-sensors with digital zoom. My predictions included: “... expect a consumer camera producing 10 mp images with an 8x digital zoom inside ten years.”

A number of companies are working on making this happen well inside 10 years.

What I missed, is that multiple small sensors (pixel count & physical dimensions) combined with clever software can synthesise large-pixel-count &/or large-format, sensors.

One implementation of synthetic-sensor cameras is the Light L16 camera, which combines 16 cameras, each with phone size sensors, to emulate the performance of a full-frame SLR with a 40+ megapixel sensor & 35-150 mm zoom. All of this fits into a package the size of a 6" phablet phone, but twice as thick, with no protruding lens.

Also in development, synthetic-sensor cameras for smartphones. 2 x phone-cameras, one a typical phone-camera, the other a longer focal-length black & white. Cameras & software synthesise the capabilities of a phone-camera with 5x optical zoom.

First-to-market with a synthetic-sensor camera – Huawei. Their P9 phones incorporate two Leica cameras, one a conventional phone camera, the other black & white, for improved definition & low-light performance.

http://www.wired.com/2016/04/huawei-p9-leica-dual-cameras/

And what of the point-&-shoot camera? Existing phone cameras are the only camera many people own. The rapid expansion of phone-camera capabilities we will see in the next couple of years will only accelerate this trend.
/ Huawei Leica unveiled rumored new P9 P9 Plus smartphone two primary cameras on the back dual-camera flagship phone long-term technology partnership new phones unveiled press event available first in Europe London smartphones design Huawei’s previous P Series smartphones finish shell aluminum metal rounded corners 5.2-inch FHD full high definition 5.5-inch AMOLED display most interesting detail pair 12-megapixel cameras back side backside both phone models cameras co-engineered Huawei Leica Chinese phone-maker German optics company dual cameras lens lenses designed P9 two large sensors sensors new 1.25um Sony IMX286 chips captures RGB information monochrome sensor superior light sensitivity lens aperture f/2.2 field of view 27mm equivalent full frame 35mm equivalent dual-LED flash on board though optical image stabilization missing shortcoming black and white synthetic-sensor camera synthetic-sensor camera synthetic sensor camera synthetic sensor camera sensor colour sensor color sensor working together capture more light more detail photographs photos Huawei monochrome sensor captures 300 percent more light photos shot with the phone brighter backgrounds better contrast clearer images two sensors operate in wide-aperture mode extra depth of field background blur attractively bokeh cameras refocus a frame after fired off a shot dual lenses autofocus mechanism faster laser-assisted focus system close-up shots objects dedicated sensors contrast focusing objects farther away smartphone dual-camera 3D features camera two lenses refocusing options refocusing variable aperture well-respected leader in photography Leica optical expertise smartphones chips smartphones Huawei Kirin 955 octa-core system-on-a-chip USB Type-C connector fast charging P9 six colors 32GB storage 3GB RAM 64GB memory 4GB of RAM microSD slots optional 128GB of additional storage Press Touch Huawei Apple’s 3D Touch interface Force Touch larger P9 Plus stereo speakers integrated IR universal remote function very small camera interface pro mode make manual adjustments ISO adjusted shutter speed white balance beauty filters HDR panorama night shots time-lapse slo-mo slow-motion slow motion watermark light painting audio notes document readjustment options monochrome mode, too black and white effect filters third-party camera apps monochrome dedicated Leica sensor dramatic gorgeous black and white picture deep blacks awesome contrast /

Wednesday, 6 April 2016

Million Mile Light



Million Mile Light captures energy from the runner’s motion
Credit: Million Mile Light/battery free/werd

Million Mile Light is a safety light for runners to make them visible to other road users at night. Because it captures energy from the user at each stride, it doesn’t need batteries. Ever.

Although, a million miles does sound a trifle ambitious ...



http://www.werd.com/33906/million-mile-light/

Manufacturer’s web site
https://batteryfree.com/
/ powered by motion kinetic energy Million Mile Light 30-lumen LED safety light runner run running runners step stride flashes pulse of light keep you safe weighs 1.5 ounces never needs a battery /

Tuesday, 5 April 2016

Who killed the petrol car?*



Tesla Model 3
Credit: Popular Mechanics

With over $10 billion in pre-orders & over $250 million in deposits accepted (effectively an interest free loan) for the Tesla Model 3, within days of first accepting deposits, Elon Musk’s Tesla Motors may be in the process of doing just that.

http://reneweconomy.com.au/2016/tesla-rivals-software-may-kill-petrol-car-soon-2025

India, Norway & the Netherlands are legislating to make it happen.

http://reneweconomy.com.au/2016/india-joins-norway-and-netherlands-in-wanting-100-electric-vehicles-72869
__________

* “Who Killed the Electric Car? is a 2006 documentary film that explores the creation, limited commercialization, & subsequent destruction of the battery electric vehicle in the United States, specifically the General Motors EV1 of the mid-1990s.” – Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Who_Killed_the_Electric_Car%3F

Buy the DVD at: http://www.whokilledtheelectriccar.com/
/ response Tesla Motor Elon Musk killed the petrol car on track response mixture those prepared to imagine the future read the signs of change focused on short-term issues meeting production schedules reducing battery costs immediate future of the Tesla share price those who simply didn’t want to know oil industry making predictions seeking capital electric vehicle EV nuclear industry This is bullishit most prominent nuclear advocates still clinging to the old centralised energy model Musk has killed the petrol car Stanford University’s Tony Seba academic predicts that fossil fuels coal oil be redundant by 2030 Seba RenewEconomy latest developments at Tesla huge response sneak preview new Model 3 rollout General Motors Chevy Bolt confirm predictions accelerate demand incumbent industries auto oil sectors new internal combustion engine cars will not be on sale by 2025 anywhere in the world internal combustion engine buses trucks tractors either graph Clean Disruption book forecast declining cost electric vehicles battery storage costs plummet release Chevy Bolt Tesla Model 3 around $US35,000 put developments ahead of the curve high-performance EVs will cost less than the average internal combustion engine ICE car within five years they will be competing with low-cost Buicks 100 years auto industry high performance big bucks car with better performance than a Porsche cheaper price than a Buick electric vehicles cost 10 times less than internal combustion engines to charge electrons are easier to move than petrol diesel solar powered charging stations will deliver refills at zero marginal cost maintenance significantly cheaper international combustion engine has hundreds of moving parts electric vehicle less moving parts negligible maintenance costs Internal Combustion Engine 17-21 per cent efficient electric motor is 90-95 per cent efficient EV 5 times more energy efficient than the ICE car cheaper to transmit electrons electricity molecules atoms gasoline diesel energy costs/mile 10 times cheaper for EVs local conditions electricity vs petrol costs vary widely depending taxes transmission costs subsidies industry protection market energy cost per mile for EVs 5 times cheaper than energy costs for ICE cars predictions 200-mile range 320kms EV cheaper than the ICE alternative huge fuel maintenance savings GM Bolt Tesla Model 3 market 2017 tipping point disruption point would make no financial sense purchase ICE vehicle average vehicle buyer EV cost curve 2025 all new vehicles will be electric median new ICE car in the US now $US33,000 EV cost curve predicted end of the ICE vehicle era end of the ICE car era prediction by 2025 all new vehicles will be electric cars SUVs trucks buses tractors anything that moves on the ground with wheels digital cameras disrupted film cameras same dynamics vehicles predictions validate targets India’s roads minister all cars to be electric by 2030 policies Dutch ban on internal combustion engines 2025 redundant success Tesla meet production targets individual ownership of vehicles blazing a trail FoxConn making EVs Ford plans invest $US4.5 billion in electric vehicles mobility company GM investing mobility services business autonomous cars Google Apple investing heavily technologies Tesla master plan Morgan Stanley Tesla future EV deliveries service free charging delivering mobility /

Monday, 4 April 2016

Fully Charged now on crowd funding site Patreon


Robert Llewellyn is an English actor, comedian & writer best known for his portrayal of the robot Kryten1 in the hit TV sci fi comedy, Red Dwarf 2 & as presenter of Scrapheap Challenge.3 More recently, he has been producer & presenter of Fully Charged, a YouTube series about electric vehicles & renewable energy. In 6 years, he has produced 190 episodes of Fully Charged.

Finance over those 6 years has come from energy companies, manufacturers & Robert Llewellyn’s own pocket. Now he’s asking for viewers’ support through the crowd funding site Patreon.



You can support Fully Charged at https://www.patreon.com/bobbyllew?ty=h

More about Robert Llewellyn & Fully Charged

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/fullychargedshow

Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/FullyChargedShow/

Twitter: https://twitter.com/bobbyllew

Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Llewellyn
__________

1 Kryten, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kryten

2 Red Dwarf, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Red_Dwarf

3 Scrapheap Challenge, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scrapheap_Challenge
/ electric vehicle EV car motorcycle electric motor battery lithium ion LiIon lithium iron sulphate charge recharge /

Sunday, 3 April 2016

New 3D printing technology – faster – stronger – higher



Credit: carbon3D/3D Printing Pin

carbon3D printers pull prints out of a pool of liquid resin. Completes prints 25 to 100 times faster, without the directional weakness that characterises conventional 3D prints.



http://www.3dprintingpin.com/carbon-3d-presents-clip-revolutionary-layerless-3d-printing-technology/

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-04-01/this-company-does-3d-printing-at-a-speed-no-one-else-can-match
/ Carbon 3D carbon3D new innovative approach 3D printing take 3D printing technology to new heights rapid development 3D printing repeated 2D printing technology barriers prevented using it on a large scale barriers layer surface created printer head adds fused filament small layers on top of each other problem printing speed current 3D printers take a long time print a small model barrier for mass production specific model product new technology developed Carbon 3D called Continuous Liquid Interface Production CLIP revolutionary technique light oxygen grow objects from a pool of liquid resin printing shape layer-by-layer using plastic filaments /